Possible scenario
Limited US Retaliation
30% Chance
Washington is likely to use trade tools short of immediate tariffs to pressure Brussels, especially after earlier US objections to European tech rules. This keeps the dispute contained but extends uncertainty for satellite communications and transatlantic technology regulation.
Secondary impacts
- Technology -0.3%
- Telecommunications -0.2%
- Industrials -0.2%
Tickers
- SPCX-0.9%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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