GOP Field Realigns

its chance, of the story’s futures

0.0%on the S&P 500, if it happens

The possibility that Vance stays out triggers a faster reshuffling of Republican presidential politics. Competing factions try to inherit parts of the Trump coalition: governors and senators court donors, while populists seek a noninterventionist standard-bearer.

What it moves

Industrials+0.1%
Finance+0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▼ down

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

GOP Field Realigns

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