Decision Is Delayed

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Vance neither exits nor launches, using time to measure donor support, Trump’s intentions, and Republican anger over the 2026 losses. The delay freezes parts of the GOP field and encourages rivals to prepare contingency plans.

What it moves

Technology−0.1%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Decision Is Delayed

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