Diplomatic Pause Emerges

The Syrian deployment creates leverage for Riyadh but also prompts Oman, the UN, and Arab League states to press for a pause before the conflict widens. This is the least likely near-term path because the Houthis have recently rejected talks, but regional governments have strong incentives to prevent attacks on Saudi infrastructure.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.