Possible scenario
Rollback takes effect
30% Chance
The Department of Education moves quickly to replace Biden-era guidance and directs the Office for Civil Rights to stop relying on gender-identity protections in Title IX investigations. Republican-led states align school policies with the new federal position, while Democratic-led jurisdictions maintain protections under state law.
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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