Possible scenario
Republican Hold Prevails
55% Chance
Cindy Hyde-Smith remains favored because Mississippi's federal electorate is still strongly Republican and national Democratic endorsements do not materially change partisan fundamentals. Scott Colom gains fundraising and attention, but the race stays outside the top tier of Senate battlegrounds.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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