Possible scenario
Competitive GOP Win
25% Chance
The endorsements from Barack Obama and Pete Buttigieg help justify a late Democratic investment, and polling moves into high-single-digit territory. Republicans respond quickly, keeping the seat but forcing outside groups to spend money they expected to use elsewhere.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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