Possible scenario
Hung Knesset Deadlock
19% Chance
Neither Netanyahu’s bloc nor the opposition can assemble a stable 61-seat majority. Israel enters another period of caretaker governance, coalition maneuvering and possible repeat elections.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
- Oil prices Up
- US dollar Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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