Ban Narrowed With Waivers
+0.5%
The most likely path is a compromise that preserves the national-security thrust of the proposal while limiting disruption to hyperscale AI buildouts. Microsoft, cloud operators, and data-center trade groups persuade policymakers that a blanket ban would collide with scarce non-Chinese optical supply through 2029.
What it moves
- Technology+1.1%
- Telecommunications+0.4%
- Industrials+0.1%
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.