Possible scenario
Sanctions Setback Returns
18% Chance
U.S. sanctions policy becomes the binding constraint again if Washington concludes that Caracas has not met political or electoral commitments. This does not necessarily reverse Chevron’s position immediately, but it raises the risk that smaller operators such as Pacific Coast Energy cannot proceed on schedule.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Tickers
- CVX-0.3%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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