Possible scenario
Operational Bottlenecks Persist
26% Chance
The restart plan is delayed by the same problems that have constrained Venezuela’s broader oil recovery: PDVSA infrastructure damage, shortages of skilled crews, power reliability issues, and weak contractor payment systems. Pacific Coast Energy makes progress, but output remains far below the stated 40,000 bpd goal.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.1%
Tickers
- CVX-0.2%
- SLB-0.1%
- -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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