Possible scenario
Quiet Distance Continues
30% Chance
Crockett maintains distance from Talarico without escalating into open criticism. This keeps the story alive among Democratic activists but does not materially change the race unless Paxton or outside groups can turn it into a broader narrative.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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