Possible scenario
Progressive Rift Widens
18% Chance
The omission becomes evidence of a deeper dispute between Crockett’s supporters and Talarico’s campaign. This would be damaging for Democrats because the March primary already created lingering resentment after Talarico defeated Crockett.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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