The Sept. 30 data provides a detailed breakdown of seat security across the congressional map. The single race listed as a tossup represents the only contest in the latest outlook that does not lean toward a specific political party.
Tuesday, October 20, 2026
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US Politics20 days ago
VoteHub released a new forecast on Wednesday mapping the probable outcome for the U.S. House of Representatives. The projection assigns 231 seats to Democrats and 203 to Republicans, creating a 28 seat gap and leaving only one race as a tossup. Among the Democratic total, 200 seats are rated solid, 13 likely, 14 lean, and 4 tilt, while the Republicans hold 147 solid, 31 likely, 15 lean, and 10 tilt seats.

The Sept. 30 data provides a detailed breakdown of seat security across the congressional map. The single race listed as a tossup represents the only contest in the latest outlook that does not lean toward a specific political party.
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Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.