Possible scenario
Restrictions Take Hold
30% Chance
The administration may craft the new restrictions more narrowly than the invalidated fee, making them harder to block immediately. If implemented, the rules likely target mass registrations, third-party worksites, and lower-wage IT outsourcing roles.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -1.7%
- Technology -0.8%
Tickers
- CTSH-2.5%
- AMZN-0.2%
- MSFT-0.1%
- ACN+0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.4%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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