Possible scenario
Courts Limit Order
35% Chance
The most likely path is rapid litigation by employers, universities, and immigration groups arguing the new restrictions repeat defects from the struck-down $100,000 fee. Courts may allow DHS to tighten fraud controls but block measures that effectively rewrite the H-1B statute without Congress.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.6%
- Technology +0.5%
Tickers
- CTSH+1.3%
- ACN+0.7%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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