Possible scenario
Husted Late Comeback
33% Chance
Jon Husted recovers by nationalizing the race, improving Republican turnout, and reducing Brown's margins among working-class voters. The polling lead proves real but insufficient once undecided voters and GOP-leaning late deciders break toward the incumbent.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.4%
- Finance +0.3%
- Healthcare +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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