Possible scenario
Brown Narrow Victory
42% Chance
Sherrod Brown converts his polling lead into a narrow win, aided by residual name recognition, labor support, and ticket-splitting in suburban counties. Jon Husted keeps the race close by consolidating Republicans late, but not enough to overcome Brown's advantage.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy -0.4%
- Finance -0.3%
- Healthcare -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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