Possible scenario
Major Offshore Brush
45% Chance
Simon reaches Category 3 or Category 4 strength but remains offshore of Mexico's Pacific coast. The most likely near-term impact is dangerous surf, coastal flooding, port restrictions, and precautionary evacuations in Jalisco, Colima, and Michoacan rather than a direct landfall.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.1%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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