Possible scenario
Damaging Mexican Landfall
25% Chance
Simon turns closer to the coast and comes ashore in western Mexico, most plausibly between Colima, Michoacan, and Jalisco. This would bring more serious wind damage, flash flooding, mudslides, power outages, and temporary travel disruption, though the market impact remains regional rather than global.
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Services -0.6%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Non-Energy Materials +0.2%
- Finance -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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