Possible scenario
Legal Pushback Grows
20% Chance
Large multi-agency sweeps often generate suppression motions, civil-rights scrutiny, and disputes over informants or search warrants. This path would slow prosecutions and create local political friction, but it would not create a meaningful cross-asset shock.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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