Possible scenario
Aid Corridor Holds
42% Chance
Ukraine manages to repeat the unmanned ground vehicle aid run despite Russian pressure around occupied Oleshky. The corridor remains improvised and dangerous, but Kyiv proves it can move small quantities of food and medicine across the Dnipro without a conventional convoy.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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