Possible scenario
Prince Operations Continue
38% Chance
Haiti's transitional authorities allow Erik Prince-linked security operations to continue because the plea by gang leaders is read as evidence that pressure is working. Kenyan-led police, Haitian units, and private contractors maintain raids, drone surveillance, and targeted disruption of gang logistics around Port-au-Prince.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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