Possible scenario
Operations Are Curbed
22% Chance
Domestic political pressure and international concern force Haiti's transitional authorities to slow or suspend private security activity. Gang leaders use the pause to regroup, while the government tries to avoid a legitimacy crisis over contractor tactics.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services -0.3%
- Industrials -0.2%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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