Possible scenario
Formal Security Framework
24% Chance
The transitional government tries to bring Prince-linked activity into a clearer legal and command structure. The objective is to preserve operational momentum while reducing diplomatic risk for Haiti, Kenya, and international donors.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
- Industrials +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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