Possible scenario
Political Damage Contained
22% Chance
The White House may try to isolate the scandal by emphasizing Guilfoyle's resignation and quickly naming a replacement for the Athens post. This outcome is likely if Republican leaders decide the case is embarrassing but not structurally threatening to foreign policy or markets.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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