Coercive Talks Continue

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.4%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Russia continues pairing threats of force with participation in US-led talks, seeking leverage over demilitarized-zone terms and Donbas recognition. Ukraine and its Western backers keep negotiations alive but reject Moscow’s maximalist security-zone demands.

What it moves

Industrials+0.8%
Consumer Cyclicals−0.4%
Market volatility▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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