Possible scenario
Backlash Slows Rollout
18% Chance
Progressive lawmakers, public-interest groups, or other regulators argue that the Fed has moved too far after the 2023 regional-bank failures. The rule is not necessarily overturned, but political and legal scrutiny reduces the certainty of capital relief.
Secondary impacts
- Finance -1.1%
- Business Services -0.1%
Tickers
- C-1.3%
- BAC-1.0%
- WFC-0.8%
- JPM-0.7%
- -0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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