Possible scenario
Track Improves
20% Chance
A modest eastward jog, increased shear, or faster forward speed keeps the worst winds away from Florida's most exposed population centers. This outcome would reverse some defensive positioning in insurers, tourism, and utilities after the extreme wind warning.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
Secondary impacts
- Finance +0.5%
- Utilities +0.4%
- Consumer Services +0.2%
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.1%
Tickers
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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