Possible scenario
Contained Regional Losses
28% Chance
The storm remains dangerous but the highest winds and surge affect less densely populated parts of Florida. Emergency declarations, outages, and coastal damage still occur, but the national market impact is limited and mostly concentrated in Florida insurance and utilities.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.3%
- Utilities -0.3%
- Consumer Services -0.2%
Tickers
- -2.0%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.