Possible scenario
Sanctions Economy Management
18% Chance
A larger United Russia majority gives the Kremlin more room to manage war financing through taxes, capital controls and budget reallocations. The key policy question is whether the government preserves macro stability or leans harder on households, banks and exporters.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Finance -0.1%
- Energy +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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