Managed Kremlin Consolidation

The most likely outcome is a continuation of tightly managed rule, with the State Duma functioning as a legislative arm of the Kremlin. United Russia's 355 seats give Vladimir Putin and Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin ample room to pass budgets, security laws and wartime measures without meaningful parliamentary resistance.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.