Possible scenario
Energy Campaign Broadens
20% Chance
The Rabigh attack becomes the opening move in a renewed Houthi campaign against Saudi energy and power infrastructure. Even without a war declaration, repeated strikes or credible threats revive memories of past attacks on Abqaiq, Jeddah, and Aramco facilities.
Initial impacts
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Up
- Market volatility Up
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Oil prices Up
- US dollar Up
- Copper Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-1.7%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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