Possible scenario
Plan Is Watered Down
30% Chance
Regulators accept the principle but reduce the number of affected thresholds or add safeguards for systemic-risk rules. This outcome is plausible because indexing 100 thresholds could face scrutiny from Parliament, consumer advocates and financial-stability officials.
Secondary impacts
- Business Services +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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