Possible scenario
Competitiveness Package Expands
15% Chance
HM Treasury uses the GDP-index proposal as part of a broader post-Brexit financial-services package. The measures include additional PRA reporting relief, FCA listing-rule simplification, and a more explicit competitiveness mandate, creating a more positive read-through for UK financials.
Secondary impacts
- Finance +1.5%
- Business Services +0.6%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.2%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.