Possible scenario
Rates Shock Escalates
12%
−2.7%
A lower-probability but material downside scenario occurs if global bond yields jump again or officials reinforce a higher-for-longer message. That would turn the Nikkei futures decline into a broader cross-asset tightening shock.
What it moves
- Technology−4.0%
- Consumer Cyclicals−3.2%
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
- Market volatility
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