Possible scenario
Security Measures Expand
25% Chance
The government responds visibly by tightening school-entry procedures, increasing police patrols near campuses, and asking head teachers to review emergency plans. The measures are politically salient but unlikely to affect Polish or European financial markets in the immediate 1-2 day window.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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