Possible scenario
Ohio Bet Pays
38% Chance
Senate Majority PAC's $70 million Ohio commitment helps Sherrod Brown consolidate late Democratic support against Jon Husted. Roy Cooper's lead in North Carolina holds despite the PAC's reduced spending there, making the strategy look disciplined rather than desperate.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Down
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs Down
Secondary impacts
- Healthcare -0.2%
- Utilities +0.2%
- Finance -0.1%
- Energy
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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