Possible scenario
Cooper Husted Split
30% Chance
Roy Cooper wins North Carolina, validating the decision to reduce outside Democratic spending there. Jon Husted survives the Ohio surge, showing that Senate Majority PAC's $70 million was enough to narrow the race but not defeat the Republican incumbent.
Initial impacts
- Market volatility Down
- 10-year Treasury yield Up
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.2%
- Industrials +0.2%
- Finance +0.2%
- Healthcare -0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.1%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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