Possible scenario
Tightness Lingers
25% Chance
Joliet returns, but low inventories, cautious operations and distribution constraints keep local fuel markets from fully normalizing. Chicago spot gasoline remains cheap versus national averages but becomes more volatile around pipeline and terminal scheduling.
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.3%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.2%
- Industrials -0.1%
Tickers
- MPC+0.5%
- XOM+0.4%
- PSX+0.2%
- +0.1%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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