Possible scenario
Midwest Fuel Normalizes
55% Chance
ExxonMobil's Joliet refinery holds stable operating rates, allowing Chicago-area gasoline inventories to rebuild after the summer outage. Wholesale gasoline prices remain well below the September spike, with retail relief following gradually across Illinois, Indiana, Wisconsin and Michigan.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Up
Secondary impacts
- Consumer Cyclicals +0.4%
- Energy -0.3%
- Industrials +0.2%
Tickers
- MPC-0.5%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500+0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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