Possible scenario
Joliet Suffers Setback
15% Chance
A mechanical or safety issue forces ExxonMobil to reduce operating rates after the restart. The most likely version is a partial constraint, not a repeat of the July tornado outage, but it would reintroduce a Chicago gasoline risk premium.
Initial impacts
- Oil prices Down
Secondary impacts
- Energy +0.5%
- Consumer Cyclicals -0.5%
- Industrials -0.3%
Tickers
- XOM-0.8%
Portfolio impact
S&P 500-0.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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