Republicans Narrow Mail Gap

28%its chance, of the story’s futures

+0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Trump’s reversal on mail-in voting appears to help Republicans reduce Democrats’ traditional early-vote advantage. Forecast models modestly raise the odds of Republicans holding or winning at least one chamber of Congress.

What it moves

Energy+0.5%
Finance+0.4%
10-year Treasury yield▲ up
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

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