Oversight Without Impeachment

its chance, of the story’s futures

−0.1%on the S&P 500, if it happens

Democratic leaders use their new House and Senate majorities to launch investigations into Trump’s finances, executive actions, and Epstein-related records, but avoid immediately committing to impeachment. This is the most likely path because it lets Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer satisfy their base while preserving flexibility with swing-district members.

What it moves

Finance−0.1%
Technology−0.1%
Riskier companies' borrowing costs▲ up
Market volatility▲ up

Sectors in percent; other series by direction only.

Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.

Keeping an eye on this scenario?