Possible scenario
GOP Unity Holds
42% Chance
Trump's two Florida rallies publicly resolve the brief uncertainty created by Byron Donalds removing Trump references from his website. Donalds keeps Trump-aligned voters energized while also allowing Ron DeSantis-linked Republicans to support the ticket without a prolonged intraparty fight.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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