Possible scenario
Branding Tension Persists
28% Chance
Donalds accepts Trump's support but continues trying to broaden his appeal for the November electorate. The result is a managed but visible tension between Trump's national brand and Donalds' state-level general election strategy.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.