Possible scenario
Democrats Exploit Split
20% Chance
Florida Democrats use the rally schedule and the prior website edits to argue Donalds is caught between Trump loyalty and general-election repositioning. The attacks may help Democrats with suburban voters, though Florida's Republican lean remains a structural advantage for Donalds.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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