Possible scenario
GOP Split Widens
25%
0.0%
Neil Bush’s public support for Talarico encourages additional business-aligned or Bush-era Republicans to criticize Ken Paxton. The race becomes a visible split between Paxton-Musk populists and anti-Paxton conservatives.
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.