Minor Bias Confirmed
0.0%
The Washington Post’s flagged response bias turns out to be real but modest, driven by differential response rates among independents and highly engaged voters. After reweighting, Adam Hamilton remains competitive against Sen. Roger Marshall, and the Kansas Senate race stays rated as a toss-up.
What it moves
- Market volatility
- Riskier companies' borrowing costs
Keeping an eye on this scenario?
Tilt can alert you when its probability or impact shifts, or send you a recommendation when it crosses a threshold.