Possible scenario
Trump Media Narrative Wins
20% Chance
Trump’s team uses the dispute to reinforce its argument that legacy networks undercount his audience and that direct streaming can bypass traditional media. The convention-view claim becomes a campaign asset rather than a defensive talking point.
Portfolio impact
S&P 5000.0%
Each figure is the modeled move of the S&P 500 if the outcome occurs. For information only. Not investment advice.
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